Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#61
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#50
Pace73.0#96
Improvement+7.0#6

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#64
First Shot+4.7#52
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#169
Layup/Dunks+5.3#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#247
Freethrows+5.3#1
Improvement+4.4#14

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#67
First Shot+4.0#60
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#162
Layups/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#122
Freethrows+2.0#54
Improvement+2.6#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.9% n/a n/a
First Round12.7% n/a n/a
Second Round3.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 295   Alabama St. L 82-85 96%     0 - 1 -14.8 -1.8 -12.7
  Nov 18, 2015 293   Jacksonville St. W 71-62 96%     1 - 1 -2.7 -9.5 +6.6
  Nov 21, 2015 304   VMI W 76-52 96%     2 - 1 +11.7 -2.8 +14.4
  Nov 24, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 90-60 98%     3 - 1 +13.5 -3.1 +12.7
  Nov 27, 2015 18   Iowa St. L 77-99 27%     3 - 2 -6.6 +0.6 -5.2
  Nov 28, 2015 117   UAB W 82-77 OT 71%     4 - 2 +8.2 +3.2 +4.5
  Dec 01, 2015 65   Northwestern L 79-81 OT 64%     4 - 3 +3.3 +2.1 +1.4
  Dec 05, 2015 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-45 98%     5 - 3 +17.2 +0.7 +15.8
  Dec 09, 2015 227   @ Radford W 74-65 82%     6 - 3 +8.0 -0.2 +8.2
  Dec 13, 2015 330   Lamar W 88-53 98%     7 - 3 +19.6 +0.8 +16.2
  Dec 19, 2015 346   Grambling St. W 87-52 99%     8 - 3 +16.8 +4.6 +10.6
  Dec 22, 2015 44   Saint Joseph's L 62-79 43%     8 - 4 -6.3 -10.2 +4.5
  Dec 30, 2015 6   West Virginia L 63-88 25%     8 - 5 -9.1 -5.4 -2.2
  Jan 02, 2016 74   North Carolina St. W 73-68 OT 66%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +9.7 -1.9 +11.5
  Jan 04, 2016 4   Virginia W 70-68 23%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +18.8 +11.7 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2016 17   @ Duke L 58-82 18%     10 - 6 2 - 1 -5.4 -13.4 +9.6
  Jan 13, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 93-91 78%     11 - 6 3 - 1 +3.0 +18.5 -15.6
  Jan 16, 2016 55   @ Georgia Tech W 78-77 36%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +13.7 +3.7 +9.8
  Jan 20, 2016 36   @ Notre Dame L 81-83 29%     12 - 7 4 - 2 +12.6 +9.8 +2.8
  Jan 24, 2016 3   North Carolina L 70-75 21%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +12.3 -0.4 +13.1
  Jan 27, 2016 11   Louisville L 83-91 31%     12 - 9 4 - 4 +6.0 +14.5 -7.9
  Jan 31, 2016 34   @ Pittsburgh L 71-90 28%     12 - 10 4 - 5 -4.2 +2.0 -5.7
  Feb 02, 2016 38   @ Syracuse L 60-68 OT 30%     12 - 11 4 - 6 +6.4 -3.9 +10.2
  Feb 06, 2016 48   Clemson W 60-57 55%     13 - 11 5 - 6 +10.6 -4.6 +15.5
  Feb 09, 2016 4   @ Virginia L 49-67 11%     13 - 12 5 - 7 +4.6 -8.2 +10.9
  Feb 17, 2016 14   @ Miami (FL) L 49-65 17%     13 - 13 5 - 8 +3.0 -10.6 +11.7
  Feb 20, 2016 46   Florida St. W 83-73 55%     14 - 13 6 - 8 +17.6 +15.3 +2.6
  Feb 23, 2016 206   @ Boston College W 71-56 80%     15 - 13 7 - 8 +15.0 +2.2 +12.8
  Feb 28, 2016 111   @ Wake Forest W 81-74 58%     16 - 13 8 - 8 +13.8 +6.9 +6.5
  Mar 02, 2016 34   Pittsburgh W 65-61 50%     17 - 13 9 - 8 +13.0 +0.6 +12.7
  Mar 05, 2016 14   Miami (FL) W 77-62 34%     18 - 13 10 - 8 +28.2 +14.2 +15.1
  Mar 09, 2016 46   Florida St. W 96-85 44%     19 - 13 +21.6 +25.1 -3.8
  Mar 10, 2016 14   Miami (FL) L 82-88 25%     19 - 14 +10.1 +11.0 -0.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 23.5% 23.5% 11.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 19.2 1.8 0.0 76.5 23.5%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.5% 0.0% 23.5% 11.0 0.0 0.2 2.2 19.2 1.8 0.0 76.5 23.5%